Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (31 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 48
Defender wins (German (SS)): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 1031 | 29% | 2026-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1106 | 35% | 2026-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 915 | 78% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1195 | 934 | 82% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-03-28 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1132 | 59% | 2024-09-12 | | Lost |
| 928 | 891 | 55% | 2024-08-03 | | Won |
| 891 | 999 | 35% | 2024-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1347 | 1175 | 73% | 2024-06-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 906 | 1031 | 33% | 2024-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-05-12 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1175 | 32% | 2024-04-22 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2024-04-18 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1155 | 29% | 2024-03-07 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-02-22 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 934 | 59% | 2024-01-11 | | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2023-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2023-05-12 | | Won |
| 1347 | 1038 | 86% | 2023-04-07 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-03-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2023-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1052.7 has a 51.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).