Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (27 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 951 | 74% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 911 | 78% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1135 | 49% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1145 | 74% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1333 | 1416 | 38% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 937 | 1032 | 37% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1059 | 61% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 1032 | 37% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1145 | 993 | 71% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1148 | 35% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1043 | 937 | 65% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 893 | 881 | 52% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1193 | 35% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1049 | 951 | 64% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1070 | 82% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1043.8 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).