Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (28 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 47
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1072 | 46% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 940 | 75% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 910 | 79% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1135 | 49% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1217 | 67% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1333 | 1419 | 38% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1122 | 24% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 991 | 79% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 1217 | 27% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1040 | 49% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1106 | 37% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1032 | 48% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 887 | 875 | 52% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1203 | 34% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 940 | 51% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1009 | 1180 | 27% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1047 | 85% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1032 | 62% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 1060 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).