Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (28 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 47
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1063 | 47% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1162 | 950 | 77% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 909 | 79% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1162 | 1135 | 54% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 878 | 62% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 878 | 1002 | 33% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1169 | 73% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1135 | 1190 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1074 | 29% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1169 | 991 | 74% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1126 | 34% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1077 | 41% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 887 | 875 | 52% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1194 | 35% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 950 | 50% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1042 | 85% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1077 | 55% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1077 | 63% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 989 | 56% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1122 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1065.6 has a 52.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).