Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (27 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 909 | 78% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1124 | 911 | 77% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 1124 | 51% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1027 | 30% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1324 | 1158 | 72% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1329 | 1413 | 38% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1031 | 65% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1124 | 1093 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 920 | 1064 | 30% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1031 | 65% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1158 | 992 | 72% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1149 | 35% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1139 | 37% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1186 | 36% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1324 | 1045 | 83% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1139 | 51% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 1139 | 53% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1021 | 963 | 58% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1090.9 vs 1063.9 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).