Raff's Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 1028 | 71% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1106 | 47% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 802 | 1032 | 21% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1024 | 71% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
| 802 | 1032 | 21% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1226 | 26% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 990 | 951 | 56% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 1093 | 23% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2023-02-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1016.6 has a 52.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).