Raff's Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1242 | 29% | 2025-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1076 | 72% | 2024-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2024-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-05-03 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1226 | 17% | 2023-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2023-03-24 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1061.2 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).