Raff's Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1263 | 26% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1003 | 82% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 1120 | 42% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1070 | 920 | 70% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1024 | 75% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2023-04-04 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 876 | 1093 | 22% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1040 | 66% | 2023-02-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1067.2 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).