Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Native American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2025-01-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 954 | 1263 | 14% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 772 | 82% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1097 | 908 | 75% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1043.4 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).