Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 46
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1129 | 48% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 968 | 907 | 59% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-04-11 | Won |
| 1223 | 1213 | 51% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 786 | 1075 | 16% | 2025-11-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 707 | 1088 | 10% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 943 | 45% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 899 | 64% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1077 | 1029 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1087 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 1129 | 53% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1065 | 76% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1151 | 30% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 862 | 82% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1054.5 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).