Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 29
Defender wins (French): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1112 | 42% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 754 | 1091 | 13% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 953 | 943 | 51% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1144 | 35% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1013 | 1058 | 44% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1055 | 56% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1156 | 1087 | 60% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1184 | 1028 | 71% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1035 | 47% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1139 | 26% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 933 | 73% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 861 | 76% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1107 | 60% | 2023-06-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1256 | 20% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1061.6 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).