Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (19 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1115 | 40% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 994 | 52% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1041 | 47% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1003 | 82% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1269 | 1003 | 82% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1180 | 1182 | 50% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1124 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1090 | 60% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1052 | 40% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1020 | 52% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1036 | 65% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 950 | 63% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1048 | 767 | 83% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1053.4 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).