Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (21 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1174 | 33% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1033 | 74% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1216 | 1033 | 74% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 990 | 1226 | 20% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1084 | 65% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1010 | 75% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1047 | 970 | 61% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1066.5 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).