Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (19 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1179 | 26% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1175 | 969 | 77% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1175 | 969 | 77% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1127 | 939 | 75% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 998 | 50% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1102 | 46% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 995 | 1042 | 43% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1015 | 894 | 67% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1235 | 34% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1040 | 59% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 939 | 69% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 902 | 68% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1033 | 66% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1013.9 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).