Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 934 | 60% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1159 | 39% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1054 | 52% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1048 | 71% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1203 | 1048 | 71% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1023 | 1182 | 29% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1136 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1073 | 67% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 983 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 947 | 62% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1232 | 42% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1019 | 67% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1182 | 33% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 982 | 57% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 780 | 78% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1040.6 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).