Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1009 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1218 | 21% | 2024-08-09 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1186 | 32% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 975 | 61% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1146 | 35% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1177 | 1227 | 43% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1126.6 has a 38.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).