Breakthrough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 992 | 58% | 2025-08-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2024-08-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 1131 | 32% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 914 | 1097 | 26% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 1173 | 29% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1198 | 1227 | 46% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.9 vs 1154.4 has a 33.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).