Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (14 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1220 | 19% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 906 | 81% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2025-08-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1216 | 21% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1001 | 78% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 881 | 891 | 49% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1126 | 1144 | 47% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1067.4 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).