Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1209 | 22% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
1168 | 1142 | 54% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
1120 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
1168 | 1032 | 69% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
900 | 891 | 51% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
1053 | 940 | 66% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
1145 | 1141 | 51% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
953 | 1049 | 37% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
953 | 1049 | 37% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
1017 | 973 | 56% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1061.7 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).