Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 929 | 76% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1022 | 55% | 2025-08-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1215 | 23% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1151 | 52% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1107 | 49% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1021 | 69% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 896 | 891 | 51% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1148 | 1152 | 49% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 1051 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1051 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 957 | 60% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1045.4 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).