The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (5 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 930 | 36% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1041 | 59% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1019 | 61% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1199 | 50% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1032.4 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).