The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 789 | 943 | 29% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1014 | 63% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1005 | 63% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1037.6 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).