Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1141 | 54% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 930 | 65% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1047 | 1019 | 54% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1008 | 1170 | 28% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1307 | 977 | 87% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1158 | 30% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 966 | 1150 | 26% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2024-12-09 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1141 | 70% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1114.8 has a 43.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).