Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 903 | 62% | 2026-02-14 | | Lost |
| 942 | 1139 | 24% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-06-03 | | Won |
| 1059 | 930 | 68% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1131 | 984 | 70% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2025-04-26 | | Won |
| 1001 | 942 | 58% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1000 | 82% | 2025-02-15 | | Won |
| 1158 | 754 | 91% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 889 | 1210 | 14% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 942 | 67% | 2025-01-10 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-12-18 | | Lost |
| 821 | 1217 | 9% | 2024-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2024-10-26 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1027.9 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).