Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1037 | 41% | 2026-02-14 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1176 | 49% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1330 | 40% | 2025-06-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 920 | 62% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1048 | 998 | 57% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1172 | 29% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1099 | 77% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 884 | 1053 | 27% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2024-12-09 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1208 | 44% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1104.8 has a 44.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).