Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2025-12-20 | Won |
| 994 | 1005 | 48% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 918 | 83% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 820 | 979 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 938 | 1099 | 28% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 861 | 69% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 988.9 vs 989.7 has a 49.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).