Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 919 | 69% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1229 | 26% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 828 | 979 | 30% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 805 | 72% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 924 | 926 | 50% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 945 | 59% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 968.9 vs 965.3 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).