Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (15 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2026-07-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2026-06-20 | Won |
| 973 | 990 | 48% | 2025-12-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1038 | 49% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 914 | 73% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 820 | 978 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1118 | 955 | 72% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1005.8 vs 996.6 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).