Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1169 | 29% | 2026-01-15 | Won |
| 902 | 1157 | 19% | 2025-12-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1030 | 37% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2025-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 1100.2 has a 37.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).