Bloody Burgberg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (8 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 977 | 64% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 885 | 72% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 993 | 1215 | 22% | 2026-01-15 | Won |
| 899 | 1156 | 19% | 2025-12-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 998 | 78% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 983 | 1029 | 43% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 1188 | 37% | 2025-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1064.3 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).