The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 855 | 938 | 38% | 2026-05-21 | Won |
| 855 | 854 | 50% | 2026-05-05 | Lost |
| 942 | 1045 | 36% | 2026-04-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1218 | 26% | 2025-12-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1081 | 49% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1209 | 1215 | 49% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1195 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1050.1 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).