The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2026-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-05-05 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1075 | 26% | 2026-04-02 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1152 | 28% | 2025-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
| 1045 | 895 | 70% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 989 vs 1016.3 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).