Beyond the Pakfronts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 734 | 1203 | 6% | 2026-07-28 | | Lost |
| 734 | 1203 | 6% | 2026-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2026-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2026-01-07 | | Won |
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2025-12-08 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1017 | 39% | 2025-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1205 | 25% | 2025-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 943.4 vs 1086.4 has a 30.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).