Fighting Withdrawal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 808 (168 on the archive and 640 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 364
Defender wins (Russian): 443
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
972 | 1073 | 36% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
865 | 876 | 48% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
1013 | 975 | 55% | 2024-03-14 | Won |
1012 | 995 | 52% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
1008 | 1024 | 48% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
1024 | 1008 | 52% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
1008 | 1024 | 48% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
1017 | 998 | 53% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
999 | 999 | 50% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
953 | 1083 | 32% | 2023-08-10 | Lost |
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
916 | 1104 | 25% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
987 | 1013 | 46% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
880 | 880 | 50% | 2023-04-13 | Lost |
880 | 871 | 51% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
930 | 1055 | 33% | 2023-01-17 | Lost |
1015 | 1187 | 27% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
998 | 959 | 56% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
998 | 1035 | 45% | 2022-09-18 | Won |
939 | 1157 | 22% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
1017 | 1013 | 51% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
939 | 960 | 47% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
1036 | 964 | 60% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
1188 | 1234 | 43% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
964 | 968 | 49% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
1242 | 1029 | 77% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
960 | 1157 | 24% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1021 | 968 | 58% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
1173 | 1013 | 72% | 2020-05-20 | Lost |
1013 | 916 | 64% | 2020-04-21 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
983 | 967 | 52% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2020-03-03 | Won |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2020-02-03 | Lost |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
920 | 968 | 43% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
1018 | 998 | 53% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
1135 | 1137 | 50% | 2019-12-18 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2019-11-29 | Lost |
967 | 1013 | 43% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
982 | 1104 | 33% | 2019-10-24 | Lost |
1004 | 998 | 51% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
1311 | 998 | 86% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
968 | 912 | 58% | 2018-12-30 | Lost |
1013 | 1032 | 47% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
1104 | 1186 | 38% | 2018-12-09 | Won |
1186 | 1104 | 62% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
968 | 1006 | 45% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
998 | 969 | 54% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
1109 | 1104 | 51% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
935 | 1043 | 35% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1043 | 935 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
1104 | 1094 | 51% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
1109 | 1104 | 51% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
1094 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
1013 | 1057 | 44% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-05-01 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
1104 | 893 | 77% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
931 | 1085 | 29% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
881 | 968 | 38% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
1187 | 1188 | 50% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
1188 | 966 | 78% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
1008 | 993 | 52% | 2015-10-15 | Won |
1104 | 934 | 73% | 2015-09-23 | Won |
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2015-07-14 | Won |
847 | 825 | 53% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
969 | 1069 | 36% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
1013 | 968 | 56% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
1104 | 1137 | 45% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
968 | 919 | 57% | 2015-04-21 | Lost |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
919 | 968 | 43% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2014-05-20 | Lost |
1094 | 1158 | 41% | 2014-05-08 | Lost |
1007 | 988 | 53% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
869 | 895 | 46% | 2014-01-20 | Lost |
1003 | 984 | 53% | 2013-12-15 | Lost |
1104 | 1016 | 62% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
965 | 1104 | 31% | 2013-10-29 | Lost |
978 | 1029 | 43% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
978 | 949 | 54% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
930 | 978 | 43% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
1073 | 1104 | 46% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
1104 | 1073 | 54% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
978 | 968 | 51% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
1071 | 1108 | 45% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
1071 | 1108 | 45% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
1003 | 879 | 67% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
968 | 978 | 49% | 2013-03-18 | Won |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-01-23 | Won |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2012-12-12 | Lost |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-06-15 | Lost |
928 | 937 | 49% | 2012-05-18 | Won |
1044 | 1010 | 55% | 2012-04-12 | Lost |
970 | 1046 | 39% | 2012-03-12 | Lost |
917 | 1068 | 30% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1197 | 1020 | 73% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
968 | 1011 | 44% | 2011-10-12 | Lost |
959 | 952 | 51% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
952 | 1096 | 30% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-08-14 | Won |
1103 | 1019 | 62% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
1062 | 1074 | 48% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
968 | 1144 | 27% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
1019 | 1145 | 33% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2011-05-28 | Won |
1227 | 1092 | 69% | 2011-05-08 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
914 | 988 | 40% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
1029 | 1125 | 37% | 2010-12-10 | Lost |
1008 | 968 | 56% | 2010-09-04 | Won |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2010-08-26 | Won |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2010-08-05 | Won |
901 | 1022 | 33% | 2010-07-12 | Won |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2010-07-04 | Lost |
1027 | 968 | 58% | 2010-06-25 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2010-06-11 | Lost |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2010-04-23 | Lost |
963 | 1029 | 41% | 2010-02-05 | Won |
1055 | 1040 | 52% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
1300 | 993 | 85% | 2009-04-22 | Won |
1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2009-01-19 | Won |
842 | 1108 | 18% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
890 | 1062 | 27% | 2008-08-04 | Lost |
1197 | 1089 | 65% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2008-03-06 | Won |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2007-11-16 | Won |
968 | 919 | 57% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
1014 | 968 | 57% | 2007-08-14 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2007-01-19 | Won |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2006-08-16 | Lost |
1076 | 916 | 72% | 2006-07-09 | Won |
1014 | 987 | 54% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
1004 | 968 | 55% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
1015 | 887 | 68% | 2004-10-09 | Won |
1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-18 | Lost |
1118 | 987 | 68% | 2003-11-02 | Won |
831 | 954 | 33% | 2001-10-17 | Lost |
1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2001-01-08 | Won |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 1998-11-15 | Won |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-09-02 | Won |
1012 | 924 | 62% | 1998-08-04 | Lost |
1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-02-10 | Lost |
967 | 984 | 48% | 1997-05-01 | Lost |
1006 | 990 | 52% | 1991-02-23 | Lost |
Attacking (72 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1022 has a 49.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).