Mila 18
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 282 (60 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 149
Defender wins (Partisan (ZOB)): 132
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 860 | 896 | 45% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-08-06 | Won |
| 979 | 1033 | 42% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1053 | 941 | 66% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2024-03-28 | Lost |
| 1195 | 929 | 82% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1218 | 1015 | 76% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-06-01 | Won |
| 940 | 927 | 52% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1173 | 932 | 80% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 927 | 1163 | 20% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 927 | 1015 | 38% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 997 | 966 | 54% | 2019-01-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 1002 | 53% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1195 | 893 | 85% | 2017-03-16 | Won |
| 927 | 956 | 46% | 2017-02-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2016-04-26 | Won |
| 1112 | 932 | 74% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
| 847 | 836 | 52% | 2015-10-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1195 | 24% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 1069 | 969 | 64% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 975 | 55% | 2015-04-11 | Won |
| 1115 | 1087 | 54% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1158 | 1084 | 60% | 2014-07-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 926 | 62% | 2014-04-13 | Lost |
| 960 | 1009 | 43% | 2014-02-02 | Lost |
| 923 | 977 | 42% | 2013-08-18 | Tied |
| 1073 | 1195 | 33% | 2013-07-05 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1073 | 67% | 2013-07-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1164 | 18% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2012-10-24 | Won |
| 951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 919 | 63% | 2012-09-24 | Won |
| 998 | 1214 | 22% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2012-07-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 1066 | 31% | 2012-04-23 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 944 | 1093 | 30% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 840 | 80% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
| 1138 | 918 | 78% | 2009-01-17 | Lost |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-05-18 | Won |
| 997 | 862 | 69% | 2005-04-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2004-11-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 889 | 67% | 2004-11-13 | Won |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2004-08-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2000-04-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 954 | 58% | 1998-11-20 | Won |
| 1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-02-18 | Lost |
| 866 | 1024 | 29% | 1998-01-18 | Lost |
| 1205 | 911 | 84% | 1994-01-03 | Won |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1009 has a 53.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).