In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 209 (44 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 138
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 987 | 44% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 707 | 900 | 25% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 914 | 872 | 56% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1083 | 1228 | 30% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 947 | 937 | 51% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 947 | 931 | 52% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 916 | 78% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1172 | 68% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1134 | 974 | 72% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 881 | 78% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 894 | 1083 | 25% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
| 879 | 1028 | 30% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1028 | 39% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
| 947 | 1056 | 35% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 960 | 984 | 47% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
| 974 | 951 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1083 | 934 | 70% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1066 | 28% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 880 | 945 | 41% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1028 | 42% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1107 | 28% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 892 | 55% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 972 | 63% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
| 991 | 870 | 67% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 957 | 60% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1011 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1002 | 53% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 980 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1156 | 49% | 2003-08-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 1999-10-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1263 | 44% | 1999-05-30 | Won |
| 1097 | 867 | 79% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1113 | 21% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1005.9 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).