In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 204 (40 on the archive and 164 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 136
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 841 | 49% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1195 | 1228 | 45% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 927 | 940 | 48% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 900 | 54% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 1142 | 916 | 79% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1173 | 68% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 976 | 66% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1024 | 892 | 68% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1195 | 15% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 865 | 63% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
| 927 | 1056 | 32% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
| 987 | 927 | 59% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1011 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
| 976 | 951 | 54% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1195 | 921 | 83% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1164 | 18% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 865 | 65% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 1093 | 30% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 966 | 892 | 60% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
| 904 | 973 | 40% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 871 | 68% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1002 | 56% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 978 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
| 1024 | 866 | 71% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1205 | 38% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1205 | 13% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1003.1 vs 997 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).