In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (44 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 138
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 978 | 47% | 2025-04-14 | | Lost |
| 692 | 892 | 24% | 2023-05-27 | | Lost |
| 904 | 967 | 41% | 2022-05-25 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-01-13 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-06-07 | | Lost |
| 981 | 916 | 59% | 2020-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 916 | 78% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1172 | 69% | 2020-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-01-12 | | Won |
| 1134 | 973 | 72% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 881 | 74% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2017-10-15 | | Won |
| 894 | 1134 | 20% | 2017-05-01 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-01-23 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-10-12 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2015-09-13 | | Lost |
| 960 | 983 | 47% | 2015-01-04 | | Won |
| 973 | 951 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | | Won |
| 1134 | 972 | 72% | 2013-08-10 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-02-27 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-02-02 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-11-23 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-11-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2012-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2011-12-04 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2011-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2010-10-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2010-06-06 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2006-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2004-07-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2003-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1999-05-30 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1998-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 1996-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 1994-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1009.4 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).