In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 203 (40 on the archive and 163 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 135
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 809 | 866 | 42% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 970 | 880 | 63% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 1225 | 38% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 907 | 908 | 50% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 1142 | 916 | 79% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1299 | 1173 | 67% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1075 | 969 | 65% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 892 | 73% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1140 | 19% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1057 | 30% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 907 | 65% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1010 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
| 969 | 951 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1159 | 18% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 911 | 946 | 45% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 948 | 54% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
| 924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 937 | 892 | 56% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 972 | 55% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
| 948 | 958 | 49% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1002 | 59% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 978 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 866 | 76% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1055 | 62% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1055 | 27% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 994 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).