Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (32 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 80
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 941 | 66% | 2023-03-21 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1214 | 1118 | 63% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 940 | 927 | 52% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 993 | 40% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 927 | 65% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1083 | 33% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 960 | 82% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 976 | 52% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1228 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 963 | 57% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1195 | 51% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1195 | 985 | 77% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 865 | 973 | 35% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1028 | 39% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1094 | 56% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 836 | 966 | 32% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1228 | 1097 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 829 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1074 | 43% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1205 | 881 | 87% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1105 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1028.7 has a 53.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).