Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (32 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 68
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 952 | 997 | 44% | 2023-03-21 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 936 | 950 | 48% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 950 | 61% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 958 | 82% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 976 | 52% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1228 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1114 | 65% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1114 | 984 | 68% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1029 | 39% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 943 | 72% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1093 | 50% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 834 | 903 | 40% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1228 | 1100 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1042 | 38% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1001 | 59% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1071 | 45% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 881 | 85% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1083 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1027.8 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).