Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (32 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 80
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 943 | 64% | 2023-03-21 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1017 | 74% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1198 | 1118 | 61% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 950 | 937 | 52% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 931 | 64% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1006 | 53% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1214 | 961 | 81% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 969 | 53% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1228 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1140 | 66% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 985 | 71% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1164 | 975 | 75% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1011 | 41% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1094 | 55% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 836 | 955 | 34% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 958 | 892 | 59% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 829 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1055 | 928 | 68% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1074 | 46% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 881 | 79% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 983 | 59% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1171 | 27% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1017.3 has a 57.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).