Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 549 (95 on the archive and 455 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 276
Defender wins (American): 273
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1167 | 903 | 82% | 2026-05-26 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-09-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-06-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2024-03-29 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-10-10 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2023-05-04 | Won | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-12-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2022-07-11 | Lost | |
| 1092 | 1035 | 58% | 2022-05-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2021-11-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-09-06 | Lost | |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-09-03 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-05-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-01-01 | Won | |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-06-15 | Won | |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-06-15 | Won | |
| 893 | 1167 | 17% | 2020-05-16 | Lost | |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-01-31 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-01-24 | Won | |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-12-15 | Won | |
| 1020 | 1140 | 33% | 2019-09-20 | Lost | |
| 1120 | 967 | 71% | 2019-08-24 | Won | |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2019-05-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2019-01-17 | Lost | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-07-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2018-07-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2018-06-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2018-05-10 | Lost | |
| 974 | 966 | 51% | 2018-01-22 | Lost | |
| 945 | 1133 | 25% | 2017-03-25 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-01-08 | Lost | |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2016-12-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2016-11-03 | Won | |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2016-09-20 | Won | |
| 1010 | 1023 | 48% | 2016-08-25 | Lost | |
| 966 | 923 | 56% | 2016-06-26 | Won | |
| 1024 | 966 | 58% | 2016-02-06 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-11-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2015-07-31 | Lost | |
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2015-06-29 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-03-26 | Won | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-03-08 | Won | |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-09-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-08-29 | Won | |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2014-07-16 | Won | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-06-27 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-04-10 | Won | |
| 1073 | 692 | 90% | 2014-03-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2014-03-01 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-02-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-01-18 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 1033 | 56% | 2013-12-12 | Won | |
| 946 | 1039 | 37% | 2013-12-08 | Lost | |
| 932 | 1075 | 31% | 2013-10-10 | Lost | |
| 927 | 1075 | 30% | 2013-08-15 | Won | |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2013-08-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-04-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2013-04-15 | Won | |
| 951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-10-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2012-09-11 | Lost | |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2012-06-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2012-05-05 | Lost | |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-04-21 | Lost | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-03-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2012-03-19 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2012-02-29 | Won | |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-02-17 | Won | |
| 959 | 988 | 46% | 2011-11-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2010-07-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2010-06-26 | Won | |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2009-11-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2009-06-04 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1219 | 20% | 2009-03-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2008-06-19 | Won | |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2008-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2007-10-30 | Won | |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2007-06-11 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1156 | 35% | 2007-02-11 | Won | |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2006-12-29 | Won | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-04-11 | Lost | |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2005-04-15 | Won | |
| 1057 | 988 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2004-08-07 | Lost | |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2004-06-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2002-06-06 | Lost | |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-06-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2002-03-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1999-08-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1998-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 1997-08-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1994-04-09 | Won | |
| 929 | 1140 | 23% | 1993-07-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1991-03-16 | Lost |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1026.1 vs 1026.4 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).