Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 550 (95 on the archive and 455 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 276
Defender wins (American): 273
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1156 | 899 | 81% | 2026-05-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1025 | 45% | 2024-09-28 | Won |
| 880 | 878 | 50% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 984 | 1066 | 38% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1163 | 48% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1035 | 58% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 945 | 945 | 50% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-09-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1075 | 38% | 2021-01-01 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1107 | 23% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 845 | 67% | 2020-01-31 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1020 | 62% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 1158 | 937 | 78% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2019-09-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 967 | 71% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 949 | 1007 | 42% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
| 1005 | 985 | 53% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1040 | 45% | 2018-07-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1142 | 34% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 898 | 940 | 44% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
| 972 | 966 | 51% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 945 | 1123 | 26% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2016-12-11 | Lost |
| 1025 | 971 | 58% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2016-09-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1023 | 48% | 2016-08-25 | Lost |
| 964 | 923 | 56% | 2016-06-26 | Won |
| 1024 | 964 | 59% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 990 | 49% | 2015-07-31 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2015-06-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 1136 | 42% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1108 | 1116 | 49% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2014-06-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 707 | 89% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 943 | 1107 | 28% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1083 | 43% | 2014-02-06 | Won |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2013-12-12 | Won |
| 946 | 1039 | 37% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 931 | 1083 | 29% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1083 | 31% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1038 | 68% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2013-04-15 | Won |
| 951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 1038 | 39% | 2012-09-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1044 | 51% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 997 | 65% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 997 | 1101 | 35% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
| 1142 | 917 | 79% | 2012-02-29 | Won |
| 1043 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 959 | 988 | 46% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
| 950 | 968 | 47% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 1082 | 992 | 63% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 963 | 58% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1013 | 56% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1231 | 19% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1126 | 29% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1025 | 919 | 65% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2007-06-11 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1025 | 53% | 2007-02-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2006-12-29 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2005-04-15 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 968 | 1096 | 32% | 2004-08-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2004-06-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 948 | 61% | 2002-06-06 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1185 | 71% | 2002-06-05 | Won |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2002-03-17 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-08-25 | Lost |
| 867 | 1051 | 26% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 974 | 70% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1113 | 52% | 1994-04-09 | Won |
| 928 | 1113 | 26% | 1993-07-14 | Won |
| 984 | 990 | 49% | 1991-03-16 | Lost |
Attacking (44 wins) average ELOs: 1027.7 vs 1029.4 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).