No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 192 (22 on the archive and 170 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 126
Defender wins (American): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 975 | 48% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
862 | 882 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
1078 | 966 | 66% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
1024 | 1068 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
1036 | 1099 | 41% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
1057 | 1104 | 43% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1104 | 1184 | 39% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
1040 | 1055 | 48% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
925 | 1033 | 35% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
852 | 1083 | 21% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1007.6 vs 1025.3 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).