No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 933 | 51% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1155 | 30% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 941 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 992 | 58% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 928 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
| 999 | 983 | 52% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
| 1032 | 967 | 59% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 978 | 1038 | 41% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1100 | 41% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 1168 | 33% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1047 | 956 | 63% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1168 | 1163 | 51% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1053 | 48% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1060 | 42% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
| 961 | 1024 | 41% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 1035 | 66% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1074 | 46% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
| 854 | 1042 | 25% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
| 1155 | 881 | 83% | 1993-04-13 | Won |
| 983 | 999 | 48% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 1029.7 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).