No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 203 (29 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 133
Defender wins (American): 68
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 888 | 54% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 952 | 1198 | 20% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 984 | 64% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
| 1043 | 966 | 61% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2014-10-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1092 | 42% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1064 | 1068 | 49% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 958 | 65% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 1150 | 38% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
| 1042 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
| 981 | 1069 | 38% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
| 1225 | 1020 | 76% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1041 | 51% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
| 1264 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-05-30 | Won |
| 855 | 1032 | 27% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
| 1198 | 881 | 86% | 1993-04-13 | Won |
| 984 | 1083 | 36% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1028.7 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).