No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 202 (28 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 132
Defender wins (American): 68
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 920 | 50% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 967 | 1153 | 26% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 974 | 1020 | 43% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
| 985 | 984 | 50% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
| 1043 | 966 | 61% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2014-10-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1037 | 53% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1063 | 1183 | 33% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 956 | 65% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1183 | 1154 | 54% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 1008 | 52% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
| 1176 | 985 | 75% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1112 | 41% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
| 854 | 1028 | 27% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
| 1153 | 881 | 83% | 1993-04-13 | Won |
| 984 | 985 | 50% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 1026.5 has a 49.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).