Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 966 | 65% | 2026-05-29 | Won |
| 1156 | 914 | 80% | 2026-04-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1077 | 814 | 82% | 2023-11-27 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1170 | 1120 | 57% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1162 | 1134 | 54% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 980 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 1077 | 937 | 69% | 2019-12-20 | Won |
| 1170 | 933 | 80% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1028 | 1245 | 22% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 992 | 49% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
| 1059 | 969 | 63% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1153 | 41% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1045 | 65% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
| 855 | 908 | 42% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
| 906 | 976 | 40% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 996 | 56% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
| 1130 | 988 | 69% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1251 | 997 | 81% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
| 919 | 1059 | 31% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 948 | 65% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1070 | 51% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 1998-10-08 | Won |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 919 | 1342 | 8% | 1998-07-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 1998-07-05 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1077 | 55% | 1994-08-01 | Won |
| 984 | 992 | 49% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1011.3 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).