Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 820 | 87% | 2023-11-27 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1170 | 1120 | 57% | 2023-03-30 | Won |
| 1161 | 1134 | 54% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 916 | 66% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 980 | 54% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 1151 | 930 | 78% | 2019-12-20 | Won |
| 1170 | 946 | 78% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1131 | 28% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1028 | 1220 | 25% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 2016-01-08 | Won |
| 968 | 984 | 48% | 2015-02-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1119 | 45% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1080 | 60% | 2013-09-19 | Won |
| 843 | 908 | 41% | 2013-01-31 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-03-15 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 967 | 996 | 46% | 2010-06-05 | Lost |
| 1128 | 988 | 69% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1251 | 997 | 81% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
| 919 | 968 | 43% | 2008-09-16 | Lost |
| 968 | 948 | 53% | 2007-04-10 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1070 | 45% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2001-03-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 1998-10-08 | Won |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 919 | 1343 | 8% | 1998-07-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 1998-07-05 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1151 | 44% | 1994-08-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 1992-02-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1011.9 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).