The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 826 | 89% | 2024-01-21 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1210 | 937 | 83% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 951 | 59% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 972 | 43% | 2018-04-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1063 | 956 | 65% | 2015-10-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2015-01-22 | Lost |
| 1063 | 956 | 65% | 2014-10-15 | Won |
| 1203 | 843 | 89% | 2013-09-24 | Won |
| 951 | 974 | 47% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-01-24 | Won |
| 937 | 1016 | 39% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1193 | 16% | 1993-04-20 | Won |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 1992-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 999.8 has a 56.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).