Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (10 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 30
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2016-11-06 | Won |
998 | 1227 | 21% | 2014-05-30 | Lost |
887 | 952 | 41% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
989 | 967 | 53% | 2012-12-26 | Won |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
1157 | 1016 | 69% | 2009-09-21 | Tied |
1127 | 1012 | 66% | 2006-12-28 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-29 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2005-08-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1010.3 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).