The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (21 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 23
Defender wins (German): 61
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2024-01-28 | D | Won |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-09-24 | | Won |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2018-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2018-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-11-25 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-06-07 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-01-01 | | Won |
| 951 | 891 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-09-17 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2010-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2008-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2006-08-03 | | Won |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2001-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1999-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 1998-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-04-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1027.4 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).