The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 926 | 79% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 988 | 46% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1081 | 36% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1027 | 52% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 964 | 1135 | 27% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 955 | 964 | 49% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2006-08-03 | Won |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 831 | 1018 | 25% | 1999-10-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 948 | 59% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1189 | 15% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 991.1 vs 1010 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).