Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 1169 | 30% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
1012 | 930 | 62% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
875 | 1131 | 19% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1149 | 961 | 75% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
933 | 1005 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1133 | 1084 | 57% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
861 | 1128 | 18% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
861 | 1128 | 18% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
1030 | 1209 | 26% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
812 | 1016 | 24% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1012 | 889 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
937 | 955 | 47% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1081 | 1067 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
969 | 969 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1129 | 1133 | 49% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1090 | 955 | 69% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1085 | 982 | 64% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
971 | 963 | 51% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
1133 | 937 | 76% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1137 | 1111 | 54% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
1072 | 1068 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1019.4 vs 1048.3 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).