Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 896 | 63% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 875 | 1107 | 21% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1149 | 951 | 76% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 976 | 1001 | 46% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 869 | 1192 | 13% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 869 | 1192 | 13% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1209 | 52% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 793 | 1015 | 22% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1150 | 944 | 77% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1066 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1104 | 1131 | 46% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 998 | 63% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1059 | 54% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 993 | 963 | 54% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1150 | 55% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1218 | 36% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1056 | 1068 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1066.9 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).