Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (24 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (British): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1177 | 36% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 995 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 1024 | 66% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1100 | 74% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1220 | 51% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 756 | 1014 | 18% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1071 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 1138 | 53% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1103 | 860 | 80% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 1098 | 43% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 963 | 55% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1052.5 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).