Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (24 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (British): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1205 | 32% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 988 | 50% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 954 | 1040 | 38% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 983 | 69% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1099 | 72% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1220 | 51% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 756 | 1015 | 18% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1012 | 948 | 59% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1071 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 1118 | 56% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 1134 | 38% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1059 | 54% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1047 | 963 | 62% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1232 | 35% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1175 | 42% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1056 | 45% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1052.7 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).