Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 896 | 63% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1149 | 951 | 76% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 967 | 1045 | 39% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 1061 | 60% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1209 | 28% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 789 | 1015 | 21% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1066 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1132 | 50% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 966 | 67% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1038 | 57% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 924 | 963 | 44% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1316 | 25% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1223 | 35% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1069 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1059.1 has a 45.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).