Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (25 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (British): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1188 | 34% | 2023-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 950 | 57% | 2021-10-13 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-01-04 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1055 | 59% | 2019-10-12 | | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2018-09-12 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2018-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1110 | 71% | 2018-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-12-15 | | Tied |
| 699 | 1015 | 14% | 2017-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2015-07-12 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1071 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2014-06-10 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1118 | 47% | 2013-10-06 | | Won |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2013-09-10 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1147 | 37% | 2011-10-05 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2011-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2010-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1995-06-22 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1049.5 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).