Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1159 | 45% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1097 | 932 | 72% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1249 | 959 | 84% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1073 | 1149 | 39% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1005 | 61% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1184 | 40% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1050.8 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).