Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (10 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1064 | 1155 | 37% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1062 | 1053 | 51% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 955 | 49% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1006 | 52% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1055 | 58% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1044.4 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).