Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1128 | 1148 | 47% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1006 | 66% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1241 | 32% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1064.3 has a 50.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).