Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 971 | 1028 | 42% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1093 | 1148 | 42% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 948 | 61% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1006 | 60% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1204 | 37% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1067.9 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).