A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (13 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 66
Defender wins (British): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1015 | 39% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 865 | 954 | 37% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1203 | 1009 | 75% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1126 | 36% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 918 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 829 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1161 | 977 | 74% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1205 | 1118 | 62% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1310 | 16% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1025.8 has a 56.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).