A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (11 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 64
Defender wins (British): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1136 | 1215 | 39% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1050 | 1026 | 53% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
904 | 1121 | 22% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
897 | 993 | 37% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
1239 | 927 | 86% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
1030 | 1229 | 24% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
1104 | 976 | 68% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1058 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
1110 | 831 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
1126 | 977 | 70% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
1016 | 1350 | 13% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1061.3 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).