A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 65
Defender wins (British): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1103 | 56% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 973 | 1016 | 44% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 948 | 71% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1218 | 1038 | 74% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 906 | 976 | 40% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-09-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2002-04-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 827 | 82% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 2000-03-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 978 | 70% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1077 | 1118 | 44% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1245 | 21% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1043.6 has a 55.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).