A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (14 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 63
Defender wins (British): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 953 | 72% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 948 | 51% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1242 | 953 | 84% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2002-04-29 | Won |
| 1104 | 827 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 977 | 76% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1196 | 1118 | 61% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1193 | 27% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 995.4 has a 61.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).