Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (15 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (American): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 995 | 58% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
983 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
844 | 1066 | 22% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
976 | 1210 | 21% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
847 | 1217 | 11% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
1217 | 1148 | 60% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
1014 | 1026 | 48% | 1999-07-02 | Won |
1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1085.3 has a 44.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).