Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1038 | 44% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 844 | 1071 | 21% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1120 | 42% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1120 | 48% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1057 | 22% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1161 | 35% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 1999-07-02 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1074.2 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).