Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (24 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Polish): 80
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
780 | 796 | 48% | 2021-10-12 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-01-13 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2019-12-10 | Lost |
1109 | 1002 | 65% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
977 | 1052 | 39% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2015-09-12 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2015-08-27 | Lost |
1160 | 1013 | 70% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-05-24 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-04-30 | Won |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2007-11-17 | Won |
1327 | 1051 | 83% | 2003-07-25 | Won |
1024 | 1063 | 44% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
1066 | 1062 | 51% | 1999-03-18 | Won |
1188 | 1133 | 58% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
1072 | 1001 | 60% | 1998-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1063.3 has a 46.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).