Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (23 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1052 | 54% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1217 | 942 | 83% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1071 | 43% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1138 | 42% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 933 | 65% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 875 | 1081 | 23% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1260 | 993 | 82% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1117 | 58% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 1140 | 40% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 906 | 76% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1089 | 40% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1090 | 75% | 1998-11-07 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1051 has a 53.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).