Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (23 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 948 | 975 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1102 | 887 | 78% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1218 | 943 | 83% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1071 | 43% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1054 | 51% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 933 | 65% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 992 | 74% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1116 | 59% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1067 | 1141 | 40% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1085 | 906 | 74% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1005 | 52% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1092 | 73% | 1998-11-07 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1036 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).