Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Danish): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1110 | 973 | 69% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 953 | 82% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 935 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 1044 | 28% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1118 | 60% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1067 | 1152 | 38% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1044 | 912 | 68% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1044.6 has a 52.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).