Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (23 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Belgian): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 806 | 1044 | 20% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 956 | 1037 | 39% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1154 | 40% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 881 | 72% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 920 | 947 | 46% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1177 | 25% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1064 | 45% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 1047 | 71% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 940 | 1152 | 23% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1100 | 37% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1044 | 57% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 900 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 1035.6 has a 47.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).