Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (26 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Belgian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 928 | 1001 | 40% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 868 | 952 | 38% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 987 | 1047 | 41% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1015 | 46% | 2007-10-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 961 | 61% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1103 | 40% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1097 | 52% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1164 | 1049 | 66% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1158 | 32% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 968 | 1011 | 44% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1150 | 1211 | 41% | 1999-04-22 | Lost |
| 1011 | 895 | 66% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 1211 | 1292 | 39% | 1999-03-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1046 | 49% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1021 | 1027 | 49% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 914 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 1064 | 22% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1010.9 vs 1031.7 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).