Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (24 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Belgian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 794 | 1084 | 16% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 1032 | 38% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 941 | 1037 | 37% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1143 | 41% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 1089 | 882 | 77% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 920 | 1032 | 34% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1217 | 27% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2007-10-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1122 | 37% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1203 | 1045 | 71% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1152 | 34% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1100 | 37% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 932 | 1046 | 34% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1084 | 51% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 900 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1047.9 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).