Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (26 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Belgian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 1094 | 15% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 1081 | 875 | 77% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 920 | 973 | 42% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2007-10-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1095 | 41% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 1045 | 68% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1140 | 37% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1149 | 1249 | 36% | 1999-04-22 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1292 | 44% | 1999-03-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1046 | 34% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1094 | 49% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 900 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1063.2 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).