Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (47 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (New Zealand): 58
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2026-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2026-03-20 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1202 | 24% | 2025-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-03-19 | | Lost |
| 865 | 1000 | 31% | 2024-02-05 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-01-24 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-12-28 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-12-21 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2022-08-07 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2022-01-24 | | Won |
| 1024 | 734 | 84% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 1132 | 954 | 74% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-02-10 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2020-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2020-01-18 | | Won |
| 947 | 973 | 46% | 2020-01-09 | | Lost |
| 930 | 1000 | 40% | 2018-03-06 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-03-04 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-09-16 | | Lost |
| 974 | 951 | 53% | 2017-08-13 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-06-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-02-11 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2016-11-20 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-09-23 | | Lost |
| 988 | 927 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2015-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2013-08-05 | | Won |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2013-08-05 | | Won |
| 1156 | 889 | 82% | 2013-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-07-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2011-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2011-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1016 | 50% | 2009-10-13 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1167 | 46% | 2002-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2002-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 996.7 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).