Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (45 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (New Zealand): 56
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2026-03-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 1261 | 17% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1221 | 22% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
| 938 | 1058 | 33% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
| 960 | 973 | 48% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 964 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 988 | 954 | 55% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1023 | 752 | 83% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1136 | 954 | 74% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 991 | 1060 | 40% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1048 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 988 | 57% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 924 | 974 | 43% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 930 | 891 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
| 1080 | 1044 | 55% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 988 | 48% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 988 | 54% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1035 | 1046 | 48% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 988 | 60% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 959 | 945 | 52% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 1007 | 1090 | 38% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 928 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 959 | 889 | 60% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 962 | 1066 | 35% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1010 | 51% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1015 | 51% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
| 1193 | 1166 | 54% | 2002-11-16 | Won |
| 1111 | 827 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1006 has a 50.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).