Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (37 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (New Zealand): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1040 | 1011 | 54% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
898 | 898 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
931 | 915 | 52% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
931 | 915 | 52% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
931 | 915 | 52% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
981 | 971 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1106 | 964 | 69% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
1013 | 1072 | 42% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
1061 | 804 | 81% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
1034 | 1047 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
1057 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
1041 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
940 | 967 | 46% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
935 | 885 | 57% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
966 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
973 | 1013 | 44% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
1020 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
1027 | 1249 | 22% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
1057 | 1013 | 56% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
1204 | 1092 | 66% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
995 | 931 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
1010 | 928 | 62% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
1063 | 996 | 60% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1019 | 1093 | 40% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
1120 | 831 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 992.6 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).