Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1198 | 32% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 938 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 851 | 1116 | 18% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 878 | 62% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1012 | 1154 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996.1 vs 1037.4 has a 44.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).