Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1055 | 52% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 944 | 938 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 973 | 937 | 55% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1063 | 1132 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1031.6 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).