North Bank
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (42 on the archive and 94 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 61
Defender wins (British): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-05-12 | | Won |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-07-10 | | Won |
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2021-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 974 | 64% | 2021-01-01 | | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-03-14 | | Tied |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2019-06-06 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2019-03-13 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2018-09-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2017-09-28 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1080 | 50% | 2017-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-06-07 | | Lost |
| 982 | 966 | 52% | 2017-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2016-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 926 | 64% | 2015-12-29 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-12-21 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-07 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1156 | 36% | 2015-04-18 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1243 | 43% | 2015-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1243 | 43% | 2015-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2014-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2013-06-08 | | Tied |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-04-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2013-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2012-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 880 | 68% | 2012-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2012-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1224 | 22% | 2012-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-11-14 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2009-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 981 | 80% | 2009-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-10-09 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1012 | 74% | 2006-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2004-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2004-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1993-03-21 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1051.9 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).