Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1151 | 41% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 899 | 755 | 70% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 968 | 43% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1233 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 1071 | 1169 | 36% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 997.4 vs 1059.2 has a 41.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).