Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1113 | 29% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1042 | 57% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 899 | 706 | 75% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1018 | 51% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1128 | 23% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1233 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1199 | 31% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.7 vs 1060.3 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).