The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Finnish): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
1072 | 996 | 61% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
1148 | 959 | 75% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
992 | 961 | 54% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
1204 | 925 | 83% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1010 | 922 | 62% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
1204 | 881 | 87% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1021.9 has a 55.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).