The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1040 | 53% | 2026-01-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 876 | 60% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 954 | 933 | 53% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1228 | 29% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 937 | 63% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 876 | 1174 | 15% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1079 | 55% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 921 | 70% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 876 | 879 | 50% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1126 | 44% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1060 | 43% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1027.7 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).