The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 953 | 931 | 53% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1225 | 46% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 939 | 65% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1206 | 24% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1123 | 49% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 939 | 921 | 53% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1010 | 879 | 68% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1068 | 42% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1041.3 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).