The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1112 | 28% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 956 | 896 | 59% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1164 | 793 | 89% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1222 | 50% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1048 | 939 | 65% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1189 | 39% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 921 | 58% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1112 | 877 | 79% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 877 | 1100 | 22% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1028.6 has a 53.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).