Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (32 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1054 | 35% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1332 | 1150 | 74% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1177 | 37% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1279 | 895 | 90% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1151 | 1177 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1138 | 36% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 994 | 59% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 904 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1138 | 958 | 74% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1279 | 31% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 950 | 1030 | 39% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1192 | 1177 | 52% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1183 | 44% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1067 | 47% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 917 | 1085 | 28% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1049 | 53% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1068 | 47% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 986 | 54% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1066 | 38% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1177 | 1066 | 65% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 840 | 1037 | 24% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1074.6 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).