Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (28 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1334 | 1264 | 60% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1218 | 32% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1272 | 922 | 88% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1149 | 1172 | 47% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1187 | 29% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1007 | 46% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 993 | 59% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 903 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1187 | 960 | 79% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 869 | 1187 | 14% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1272 | 32% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 896 | 1042 | 30% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1001 | 56% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 1218 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1066 | 48% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 876 | 1099 | 22% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 1064 | 43% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1066 | 39% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 1099 | 66% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1092 | 53% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 840 | 1056 | 22% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1091.3 has a 44.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).