Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (32 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1336 | 1242 | 63% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1200 | 34% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1274 | 912 | 89% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1151 | 1174 | 47% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1191 | 29% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 904 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1191 | 961 | 79% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1274 | 33% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 909 | 1029 | 33% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1196 | 1200 | 49% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1172 | 47% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1067 | 47% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 877 | 1119 | 20% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 1037 | 52% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1017 | 891 | 67% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1067 | 39% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1200 | 1069 | 68% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1092 | 46% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 840 | 1028 | 25% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1085.1 has a 44.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).