Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (35 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1056 | 35% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1335 | 1186 | 70% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1176 | 37% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1256 | 900 | 89% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 1177 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 1218 | 29% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1069 | 45% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 922 | 1083 | 28% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1057 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1057 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1047 | 51% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 904 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1069 | 958 | 65% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1069 | 40% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1256 | 40% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 1025 | 1030 | 49% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1196 | 1176 | 53% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1184 | 44% | 2014-11-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1071 | 47% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1066 | 1017 | 57% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1066 | 43% | 2013-04-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 1067 | 43% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1065 | 38% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1176 | 1069 | 65% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1292 | 46% | 2000-04-23 | Won |
| 1344 | 919 | 92% | 1999-10-24 | Won |
| 841 | 1031 | 25% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1344 | 15% | 1999-01-16 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1084.7 has a 46.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).