ASL Scenario Archive

Acts of Defiance

Games with no balance used/recorded: 41

Attacker wins (German): 18

Defender wins (Russian): 21

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
954	954	50%	2025-12-26	Lost
1016	1028	48%	2025-12-04	Lost
1038	1038	50%	2024-06-30	Lost
1071	1274	24%	2024-03-22	Lost
946	1210	18%	2024-01-29	Lost
1187	985	76%	2023-01-02	Won
1221	1010	77%	2022-10-21	Won
1082	985	64%	2022-10-18	Won
1228	1118	65%	2022-06-28	Won
1228	1017	77%	2022-06-28	Won
933	941	49%	2021-09-02	Lost
1031	1012	53%	2021-07-14	Won
930	1019	37%	2021-03-09	Won
840	1086	20%	2020-05-17	Lost
1035	1114	39%	2019-06-13	Lost
1178	1135	56%	2019-02-28	Won
1135	1178	44%	2019-01-31	Lost
879	985	35%	2018-12-31	Lost
1154	1274	33%	2018-05-05	Lost
1037	1037	50%	2018-02-17	Won
1053	1152	36%	2017-10-07	Lost
1114	958	71%	2017-07-20	Won
1109	1161	43%	2017-06-27	Lost
919	897	53%	2017-06-20	Lost
1104	1034	60%	2017-05-29	Lost
989	1042	42%	2016-10-08	Lost
1063	1001	59%	2016-09-17	Won
1087	1093	49%	2015-07-19	Tied
1099	918	74%	2014-10-07	Won
1067	917	70%	2012-05-12	Won
1063	1001	59%	2011-06-11	Won
1099	988	65%	2009-10-24	Lost
1003	1086	38%	2009-04-05	Won
1183	1419	20%	2007-09-08	Lost
1274	1056	78%	2006-02-12	Won
965	982	48%	2005-05-14	Lost
1063	1001	59%	2003-10-03	Won
1068	1037	54%	2002-01-01	Won
970	985	48%	1999-03-29	Lost
1006	970	55%	1998-03-13	Lost
940	1177	20%	1995-08-02	Lost

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1055.5 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).