Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (43 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1075 | 38% | 2025-12-04 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 946 | 1211 | 18% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
| 862 | 1150 | 16% | 2022-09-22 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 933 | 940 | 49% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1089 | 37% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
| 839 | 1052 | 23% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1083 | 43% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 945 | 41% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1231 | 39% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 986 | 1162 | 27% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 958 | 67% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 1164 | 42% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1136 | 43% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
| 1129 | 934 | 75% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1071 | 917 | 71% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
| 1129 | 988 | 69% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1064 | 62% | 2009-04-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1052 | 43% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 1168 | 1434 | 18% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1056 | 73% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
| 965 | 982 | 48% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 1065 | 50% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 984 | 945 | 56% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 984 | 79% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 1113 | 27% | 1995-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1047.4 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).