Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (35 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1098 | 1300 | 24% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
944 | 1160 | 22% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
916 | 968 | 43% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
1188 | 939 | 81% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2022-10-18 | Won |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
938 | 961 | 47% | 2021-09-02 | Lost |
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2021-07-14 | Won |
982 | 960 | 53% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
842 | 1108 | 18% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
1037 | 1104 | 40% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
881 | 968 | 38% | 2018-12-31 | Lost |
1150 | 1300 | 30% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
969 | 998 | 46% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
992 | 1070 | 39% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1104 | 966 | 69% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
1115 | 1076 | 56% | 2017-06-27 | Lost |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
1006 | 968 | 55% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2015-07-19 | Tied |
1008 | 917 | 63% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
1008 | 989 | 53% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
1015 | 1108 | 37% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
1016 | 1360 | 12% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
1300 | 1226 | 60% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
982 | 992 | 49% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2003-10-03 | Won |
1054 | 1083 | 46% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
994 | 968 | 54% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
1183 | 994 | 75% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1053.2 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).