The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1189 | 1115 | 60% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1117 | 61% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1198 | 39% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 969 | 72% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1165 | 45% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1070 | 21% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1198 | 960 | 80% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 927 | 78% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1052.6 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).