The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1241 | 1090 | 70% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1115 | 62% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1199 | 38% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 969 | 75% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1162 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1125 | 16% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1199 | 960 | 80% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 993 | 71% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 973 | 52% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1052.8 has a 51.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).