The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 736 | 1267 | 4% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1187 | 1112 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1117 | 59% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1183 | 41% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1167 | 969 | 76% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1167 | 858 | 86% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1165 | 50% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1060 | 22% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1183 | 959 | 78% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 891 | 82% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1055 | 978 | 61% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1043 | 48% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1138 | 54% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1043 | 48% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1042.5 has a 53.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).