The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2025-11-29 | | Lost |
| 729 | 1291 | 4% | 2023-07-10 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1086 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1134 | 48% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2020-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 969 | 72% | 2019-03-29 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2019-02-24 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1013 | 62% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 839 | 1109 | 17% | 2017-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2017-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 940 | 75% | 2015-02-02 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-07-15 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2011-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2006-02-04 | | Won |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2003-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1013 | 79% | 1998-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 1992-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1043.8 has a 51.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).