One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
889 | 1015 | 33% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
946 | 1000 | 42% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
1107 | 1109 | 50% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
1090 | 952 | 69% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
959 | 959 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
995 | 959 | 55% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
1078 | 1002 | 61% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
1012 | 892 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1019.8 vs 994.4 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).