Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 998 | 60% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 953 | 1043 | 37% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 975 | 1016 | 44% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 973 | 62% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 973 | 62% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 932 | 84% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1114 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 981 | 59% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 805 | 76% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1029 | 51% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 987 | 1163 | 27% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 1014 | 63% | 2006-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1132 | 36% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 937 | 56% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1153 | 52% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 872 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1027.3 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).