Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 250 (28 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 111
Defender wins (Russian): 138
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
876 | 1024 | 30% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
1034 | 1013 | 53% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
1034 | 1013 | 53% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
1086 | 1101 | 48% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
1284 | 950 | 87% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
1003 | 1016 | 48% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
984 | 1172 | 25% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
992 | 1010 | 47% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
1287 | 1300 | 48% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1058 | 43% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
1040 | 1043 | 50% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
1227 | 1003 | 78% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
992 | 933 | 58% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
1083 | 870 | 77% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1032.6 has a 52.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).