Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 856 | 1068 | 23% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 962 | 1042 | 39% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 1021 | 37% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 931 | 67% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 931 | 67% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1047 | 981 | 59% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 693 | 90% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 962 | 57% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1029 | 51% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2006-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1132 | 36% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 937 | 56% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1196 | 45% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 872 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1038.4 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).