Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 872 | 1015 | 31% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 947 | 65% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 947 | 65% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 933 | 84% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1236 | 19% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1087 | 57% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 981 | 54% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1286 | 1231 | 58% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 945 | 59% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1013 | 44% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1233 | 1005 | 79% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1070 | 75% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2006-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1137 | 36% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1263 | 49% | 2004-07-30 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1113 | 57% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-12-18 | Lost |
| 1263 | 964 | 85% | 1999-10-08 | Won |
| 1263 | 1080 | 74% | 1999-05-02 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-04-26 | Won |
| 1097 | 873 | 78% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1052.9 has a 55.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).