Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 909 | 70% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 909 | 70% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1154 | 27% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 981 | 60% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1285 | 1329 | 44% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 947 | 59% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1029 | 51% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1132 | 36% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 986 | 934 | 57% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1200 | 44% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 872 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1027.9 has a 54.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).