Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1055 | 32% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 943 | 1042 | 36% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 854 | 994 | 31% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 892 | 1046 | 29% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 1011 | 32% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1034 | 931 | 64% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1034 | 931 | 64% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1107 | 1101 | 51% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 933 | 83% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1028 | 47% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1179 | 24% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1087 | 45% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1007 | 982 | 54% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 697 | 88% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1164 | 29% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1129 | 30% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 986 | 933 | 58% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1108 | 55% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 872 | 73% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1043.9 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).