Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (28 on the archive and 121 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 77
Defender wins (German (SS)): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 937 | 48% | 2024-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2023-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | | Lost |
| 950 | 983 | 45% | 2022-10-12 | | Won |
| 1143 | 900 | 80% | 2022-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1169 | 27% | 2019-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2016-12-02 | | Lost |
| 926 | 1127 | 24% | 2016-10-02 | | Lost |
| 959 | 898 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1155 | 29% | 2012-10-18 | | Won |
| 984 | 1150 | 28% | 2010-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2009-03-14 | | Won |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1171 | 59% | 2008-05-10 | | Won |
| 883 | 985 | 36% | 2004-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1110 | 1033 | 61% | 2001-10-14 | | Won |
| 797 | 1000 | 24% | 2001-09-26 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1041 | 65% | 2001-08-01 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1000 | 72% | 2001-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 1998-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-07 | | Won |
| 1232 | 1000 | 79% | 1996-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | | | Won |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1051.9 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).