Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 969 | 1146 | 27% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1127 | 51% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 959 | 898 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1100 | 62% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1152 | 28% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 915 | 915 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 915 | 981 | 41% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1233 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 883 | 1011 | 32% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1102 | 59% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1344 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-08-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1074 | 46% | 1998-09-18 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1192 | 43% | 1996-09-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1076.1 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).