Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1045 | 39% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 861 | 1032 | 27% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1038 | 48% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1078 | 50% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 896 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1109 | 33% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 1032 | 34% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 949 | 945 | 51% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1223 | 36% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1050 | 55% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1078.3 has a 44.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).