Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 864 | 1070 | 23% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 898 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 937 | 48% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1228 | 22% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 882 | 916 | 45% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1193 | 42% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1123 | 1093 | 54% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1063 | 48% | 1998-09-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 1996-09-07 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1075.8 has a 44.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).