Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1016 | 50% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1102 | 59% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1141 | 973 | 72% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 943 | 1063 | 33% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1023.5 vs 1063.5 has a 44.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).