Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1200 | 45% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 941 | 983 | 44% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1019 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1056.2 has a 46.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).