Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1184 | 46% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 941 | 1045 | 35% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1065 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1078.7 has a 42.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).