Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1109 | 25% | 2016-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2016-03-07 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-11-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2004-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1133 | 54% | 2002-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2000-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1077.8 has a 39.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).