L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1243 | 24% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 946 | 1170 | 22% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1170 | 946 | 78% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 934 | 62% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1101 | 33% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1056 | 45% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 942 | 1217 | 17% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 851 | 84% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1179 | 993 | 74% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 965 | 68% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 1226 | 32% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1096 | 30% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 884 | 879 | 51% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 963 | 938 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1228 | 40% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1015 | 77% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1216 | 39% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1049 | 49% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 927 | 53% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
| 1248 | 949 | 85% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 1040 | 46% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1044 | 61% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1052 | 62% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1283 | 25% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1149 | 68% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1283 | 1091 | 75% | 1997-07-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1024 | 67% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1064 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).