L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1221 | 18% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 946 | 1205 | 18% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1205 | 946 | 82% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1012 | 66% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
| 1063 | 933 | 68% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1110 | 32% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 943 | 1218 | 17% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 1232 | 1177 | 58% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1203 | 986 | 78% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
| 1117 | 965 | 71% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 1073 | 1226 | 29% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 1059 | 51% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1096 | 30% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 883 | 884 | 50% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 963 | 938 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 996 | 1046 | 43% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1233 | 39% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1015 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1214 | 40% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1049 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 927 | 53% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
| 1165 | 949 | 78% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1044 | 61% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1059 | 45% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 993 | 70% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1264 | 27% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1264 | 1091 | 73% | 1997-07-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 983 | 72% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1060.2 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).