A Bloody Harvest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 386 (113 on the archive and 275 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 205
Defender wins (Polish): 181
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-12-19 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2024-09-20 | Won | |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-06-17 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2024-01-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2023-08-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2023-06-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 848 | 71% | 2023-04-27 | D | Lost |
| 1038 | 1002 | 55% | 2023-04-11 | Lost | |
| 1004 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-03-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-03-26 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1010 | 60% | 2023-02-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2023-01-29 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 951 | 58% | 2022-12-29 | Lost | |
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2022-10-09 | Won | |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-05-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 961 | 56% | 2022-02-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 698 | 85% | 2022-01-07 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 959 | 62% | 2021-12-15 | Won | |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2021-11-13 | Lost | |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2021-08-06 | Lost | |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2021-05-26 | Lost | |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost | |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2021-05-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1187 | 25% | 2021-03-27 | Lost | |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2021-02-04 | Lost | |
| 912 | 1018 | 35% | 2020-11-15 | Lost | |
| 957 | 1152 | 25% | 2020-11-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2020-10-15 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-10-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2020-06-13 | Lost | |
| 954 | 1172 | 22% | 2019-09-03 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-03-07 | Won | |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-02-18 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1036 | 47% | 2019-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2019-01-26 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 1015 | 59% | 2018-11-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2018-11-28 | Lost | |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-08-31 | Won | |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-05-31 | Lost | |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2018-05-12 | Won | |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-05-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-04-21 | Won | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-12-06 | Won | |
| 1045 | 1075 | 46% | 2017-11-25 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 970 | 65% | 2017-09-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2017-04-11 | Lost | |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2017-03-21 | Won | |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2016-12-28 | Lost | |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2016-12-15 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-11-21 | Won | |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost | |
| 980 | 845 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2016-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2016-09-11 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2016-08-15 | Lost | |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2016-08-08 | Won | |
| 927 | 1000 | 40% | 2016-08-08 | Won | |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-07-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2016-01-11 | Lost | |
| 1219 | 1064 | 71% | 2015-12-05 | Won | |
| 927 | 986 | 42% | 2015-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2015-10-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-09-03 | Won | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-10-18 | Lost | |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-07-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2014-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-05-29 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-04-02 | Lost | |
| 1079 | 1226 | 30% | 2013-08-31 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 1019 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-07-26 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-04-07 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-11-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-09-03 | Lost | |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-07-19 | Lost | |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-07-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-05-12 | Lost | |
| 985 | 936 | 57% | 2011-09-30 | Won | |
| 973 | 961 | 52% | 2010-02-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-01-19 | Lost | |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-01-08 | Lost | |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2009-12-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-03-29 | Lost | |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-03-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2009-02-22 | Won | |
| 1009 | 1062 | 42% | 2009-01-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-05-28 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-02-24 | Lost | |
| 905 | 1078 | 27% | 2007-09-26 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2007-02-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2006-11-01 | Lost | |
| 1099 | 1033 | 59% | 2006-07-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2006-01-01 | Lost | |
| 940 | 1233 | 16% | 2004-01-20 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1046 | 48% | 2002-09-22 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2002-09-01 | Lost | |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2001-04-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2000-06-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-23 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-04-30 | Won | |
| 919 | 1343 | 8% | 1998-12-08 | Lost | |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-05-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 1998-04-05 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-03-29 | Won | |
| 919 | 1343 | 8% | 1998-03-14 | Lost | |
| 919 | 1343 | 8% | 1998-03-13 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 1998-01-10 | Lost | |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1997-10-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 1997-01-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 1996-10-01 | Won | |
| 1071 | 919 | 71% | Won |
Attacking (41 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1034.3 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).