Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1175 | 50% | 2025-08-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1215 | 24% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 985 | 65% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1055 | 46% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 879 | 1172 | 16% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 950 | 66% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 983 | 53% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1069 | 1107 | 45% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 878 | 928 | 43% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 928 | 64% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1026 | 983 | 56% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1045 | 54% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1079 | 969 | 65% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 1023 | 901 | 67% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 1045 | 29% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1252 | 968 | 84% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 980 | 965 | 52% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1075 | 1098 | 47% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1111 | 37% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 960 | 67% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 965 | 1023 | 42% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 937 | 1105 | 28% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1228 | 38% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 1265 | 1283 | 47% | 2005-07-24 | Lost |
| 983 | 959 | 53% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1260 | 993 | 82% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 999 | 69% | 2004-10-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 927 | 44% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 987 | 927 | 59% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 1140 | 28% | 2003-10-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2002-03-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2001-05-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1089 | 53% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 1170 | 33% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 836 | 77% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1159 | 43% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1084 | 53% | 1999-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1040 has a 50.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).