Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1201 | 51% | 2025-08-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1216 | 24% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 985 | 67% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1025 | 1029 | 49% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 889 | 1208 | 14% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 951 | 61% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 944 | 64% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 984 | 59% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1071 | 1109 | 45% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 878 | 905 | 46% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 905 | 67% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 948 | 978 | 46% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1010 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1173 | 29% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1148 | 962 | 74% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1028 | 46% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 897 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 998 | 901 | 64% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 1010 | 34% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1340 | 968 | 89% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 980 | 50% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1098 | 50% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1110 | 36% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 965 | 998 | 45% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1084 | 31% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1228 | 38% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1020 | 48% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1206 | 987 | 78% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1151 | 999 | 71% | 2004-10-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 927 | 44% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 986 | 927 | 58% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1151 | 27% | 2003-10-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2002-03-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2001-05-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1109 | 51% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 1189 | 30% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 835 | 73% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1174 | 41% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1034.9 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).