Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2025-08-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1215 | 26% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 985 | 61% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 873 | 1142 | 18% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 951 | 65% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 909 | 70% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 983 | 59% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1070 | 1096 | 46% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 878 | 998 | 33% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1095 | 998 | 64% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 996 | 1048 | 43% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 946 | 1020 | 40% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1036 | 58% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1194 | 960 | 79% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 897 | 55% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 950 | 901 | 57% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 1036 | 30% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1329 | 968 | 89% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1016 | 51% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1118 | 1079 | 56% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1110 | 36% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1163 | 964 | 76% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 965 | 950 | 52% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1044 | 36% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1228 | 38% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 941 | 65% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1182 | 984 | 76% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2004-10-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 927 | 44% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 986 | 927 | 58% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 981 | 1152 | 27% | 2003-10-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1050 | 41% | 2002-03-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2001-05-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 1162 | 35% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 835 | 76% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1115 | 49% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1033.6 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).