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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (13 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2021-12-31 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2017-10-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2010-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 899 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 1999-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1997-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1089.9 vs 1006.3 has a 61.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).