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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (13 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2021-12-31 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-10-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2010-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 899 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 1999-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1098.3 vs 1005.9 has a 62.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).