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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (13 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (Russian): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1175 | 41% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 954 | 957 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1072 | 41% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1203 | 957 | 80% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 900 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | Won |
| 1344 | 1194 | 70% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 996 | 73% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1019 | 887 | 68% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 867 | 71% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1036 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 997.4 has a 63.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).