Beachhead at Ozereyka Bay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (9 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1175 | 37% | 2024-01-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2023-09-29 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2023-02-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 900 | 86% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-12-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 1995-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1040.4 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).