Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (12 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2019-12-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1051 | 49% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 927 | 936 | 49% | 2011-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 1076 | 45% | 2008-06-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 788 | 76% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 1998-05-09 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1039 | 833 | 77% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 994.6 has a 57.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).