Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (11 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 52
Defender wins (American): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2019-12-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 927 | 936 | 49% | 2011-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1080 | 1076 | 51% | 2008-06-21 | Lost |
| 1047 | 790 | 81% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 1117 | 831 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 986.9 has a 58.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).