Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (11 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 52
Defender wins (American): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2019-12-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1038 | 52% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 927 | 936 | 49% | 2011-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1050 | 1076 | 46% | 2008-06-21 | Lost |
| 1063 | 789 | 83% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 830 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 991.1 has a 57.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).