Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1070 | 982 | 62% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1088 | 78% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1051 | 1059 | 49% | 2009-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1066 | 36% | 2004-09-26 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1036 | 69% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 1993-11-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1039.8 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).