Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1080 | 79% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1062 | 1114 | 43% | 2009-09-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 944 | 1037 | 37% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 809 | 91% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1993-11-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1015.8 has a 59.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).