Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 15
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1160 | 23% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 809 | 872 | 41% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 991 | 1135 | 30% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1118 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 1160 | 975 | 74% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 855 | 1001 | 30% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1146 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1125 | 35% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1273 | 49% | 2004-07-22 | Won |
| 968 | 1140 | 27% | 1999-10-07 | Won |
| 1097 | 1036 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 1026 | 968 | 58% | 1997-11-15 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1086 | 60% | 1997-06-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1127 | 46% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 939 | 66% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 881 | 73% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1097 | 1153 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1043.9 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).