Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 201 (28 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 119
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 82
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2023-07-21 | D | Lost |
| 992 | 1006 | 48% | 2020-12-09 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 856 | 70% | 2019-04-19 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1118 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2014-09-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2012-07-30 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-11-15 | | Won |
| 841 | 1001 | 28% | 2011-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2008-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2008-07-14 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1151 | 43% | 2007-02-04 | | Won |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2005-08-27 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2004-07-22 | | Won |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 1999-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 1998-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 1997-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 1997-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1156 | 42% | 1995-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 1995-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 1993-06-04 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1042.9 vs 1026.9 has a 52.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).