Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 13
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 1116 | 24% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1020 | 921 | 64% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 970 | 47% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 814 | 889 | 39% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 915 | 871 | 56% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 946 | 1030 | 38% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1132 | 61% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 907 | 68% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 882 | 957 | 39% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 1022 | 1088 | 41% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 844 | 1001 | 29% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1168 | 39% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 944 | 1079 | 31% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 971 | 68% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1124 | 51% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1037 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1134 | 69% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 982 | 934 | 57% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 881 | 64% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 957 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 1006.7 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).