Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 13
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 814 | 937 | 33% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1119 | 34% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1132 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 875 | 1001 | 33% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1149 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 928 | 1029 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1124 | 44% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1037 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1133 | 46% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1223 | 934 | 84% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 881 | 88% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1136 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1014.5 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).